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Mortgage News Daily

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Interesting day today... It began with a decent overnight rally, mostly led by European bond markets. The first big speed-bump came at 8:30am with the Producer Price Index coming in much hotter than expected. Normally, PPI isn't much of a market mover except in the case of BIG beats/misses. This one fit the bill. Bonds sold-off initially . That much was to be expected, but there would they end the day? The possibilities were endless considering yields were already fairly close to long-term highs. Instead, the 9:30am NYSE open brought a healthy dose of bond buying and a moderate amount of stock selling. European trading continued to play a role until noon when bonds went completely silent ahead of the 3-day Veterans Day Weekend, but not before 10yr yields fell more than 5bps and Fannie 4...(read more)

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11/9/2018 5:26:12 PM

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates were mixed today, depending on the lender. Most lenders began the day in slightly worse shape compared to yesterday. Bond markets improved enough by mid-day that many lenders were able to offer positive reprices (new, better rate sheets). Lenders typically don't change mortgage rates more than once a day unless underlying markets have moved enough. Lenders who repriced generally ended up slightly better off compared to yesterday. The remainder were in worse shape. On average, rates were unchanged. Bond markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Veterans Day. That means mortgage companies won't be available to accept rate locks, and many will be fully closed. When markets fire back up next week, they'll soon be able to digest an important report on inflation in the form...(read more)

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11/9/2018 4:45:00 PM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

The ongoing improvement in mortgage performance hit a slight snag in the third quarter of 2018, one that appears to be disaster related. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said the National Delinquency Survey found the national delinquency rate grew by 11 basis points (bps) from the second quarter to 4.47 percent. This was, however an improvement of 41 bps from the same quarter in 2017. Foreclosure starts continued to decline, dropping 1 bp quarter-over-quarter to 0.23 percent, its lowest level since, not just the recession, but 1985. All loan types saw increased delinquencies for the quarter but were down year-over-year. For the quarter, the rate for conventional loans was also up 11 bps to 3.56 percent while the FHA rate rose 26 bps and the VA rate 19 bps to 8.96 percent and 4.16 percent...(read more)

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11/9/2018 9:27:07 AM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Between the mid-term elections earlier this week and the simple tradeflow move following the Fed yesterday, bond markets have had their chance to make any necessary adjustments before the next big data point coming up next week. CPI (the consumer price index) isn't the be all, end all market mover, but it's important right now because it has a chance to confirm or reject the notion that the strongest wage growth in a decade will actually translate to an uptick in prices. If we're to believe this morning's Producer Price data, consumers should certainly be prepared to pay more. If CPI continues in a 2.2-2.3% year over year range (at the core level), that would actually be a bond-friendly development. It would mean producers aren't able to pass on their higher input costs...(read more)

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11/9/2018 8:20:49 AM

Posted To: Pipeline Press

Whether bond loans (we all know how management loves those), non-QM, reverse mortgages, or high loan to values, originators everywhere are working hard for their borrowers and being creative in a compliant manner. For example, from Minnesota Eric Otterness writes, “Recently my team and I closed on a loan for a first-time buyer in Minneapolis where we had eight down payment assistance programs layered on top. I’m pretty sure that $86,000 on a $190,000 house is a new world record! It was fun and I doubt it has ever been matched or will ever be beaten. If anyone knows of a transaction where there were more, let them come forward and we will stop claiming the new world record!” Lender Products and Services Mr. Cooper Correspondent is excited regarding the pending acquisition of...(read more)

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11/9/2018 7:58:39 AM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

It's hard not to give the Fed a wide berth as the biggest potential market mover on any given Fed day. Today was a Fed day! We talked about the outside possibility of the Fed statement having an impact on markets. Markets indeed made SOME movement, but looked at under anything less powerful than a microscope, today's moves were fairly small. Still, it did seem that bonds were leveling off before the Fed only to move higher in yield afterward. So, did the Fed matter after all? Some traders took the absence of change in the statement to mean the Fed isn't worried about recent stock market weakness or trade-related uncertainty. The supposed implication is that the Fed was unfriendly to rates today because they didn't say anything new and rate-friendly, but that's a big stretch...(read more)

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11/8/2018 4:02:16 PM

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates moved back up today, leaving them right in line with the highest levels of the week. These also happen to be the highest levels since early 2011, but let's not get bogged down in unfortunate details! Rates will definitely move lower at some point in the future. That's the way economic cycles work--and they always work eventually. The big questions are twofold: how long will it take for fortunes to change and how high will rates go in the meantime? In terms of timing, we could be looking at anywhere from a few months to more than year before seeing a shift that's big enough to get excited about. That said, there will still be pockets of positivity at times, even in a rising rate environment. Whatever the case may be, the higher rates go, the closer we're getting to the end of...(read more)

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11/8/2018 3:36:00 PM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Housing affordability crept down again in the third quarter of 2018 reaching, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), a ten-year low. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) indicates that 56.4 percent of new and existing homes that were sold nationwide during the quarter were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $71,000 . In the second quarter 57.1 percent of homes were affordable by this measure. Affordability, according to the 2 nd quarter reading, is the lowest since mid-2008. The HOI reacted to the combination of a 5 basis point increase in the mortgage interest rate to 4.72 percent over the course of the reporting period, coupled ongoing appreciation in home values. The median price of a home sold during the quarter was $268,000...(read more)

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11/8/2018 1:43:09 PM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in AugustSeptember indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed lowdeclined. Household spending andhas continued to grow strongly, while growth of business fixed investment havehas grownmoderated stronglyfrom its rapid pace earlier in the year. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy remain near 2 percent. Indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance. Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee...(read more)

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11/8/2018 1:13:55 PM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

A deep dig into recent home purchase loans shows that some of the underwriting standards employed by FHA and the GSEs (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) eased over the year that ended with Q2 2018. Archana Pradhan, an analyst with CoreLogic's Mortgage Finance and Risk Management Department writes in the company's Insights blog that neither conventional nor FHA lending extended the easing to their respective treatment of credit scores. CoreLogic looked at the three key factors in mortgage underwriting, debt-to-income (DTI) and loan-to-value (LTV) ratios along with credit scores. The analysis included average scores and ratios, but Pradhan says that measure does not necessary indicate any higher risk to the housing market, so the company included an analysis of the trends in the share of loans originated...(read more)

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11/8/2018 10:58:24 AM

Ken Flory, Bennion Deville Homes 760-485-2123 or email: flry7@aol.com  California BRE Lic#01361850


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